EEA report

Renewables, electrification and flexibility — for a competitive EU energy system transformation by 2030

Renewables, electrification and flexibility - For a competitive EU energy system transformation by 2030

The EEA report ‘Renewables, electrification and flexibility — for a competitive EU energy system transformation by 2030’.

✅ Key Insights:

📌 The EU has made remarkable progress in cutting electricity-sector CO2 emissions over recent decades. However, decarbonising heating and transport — still dominated by gas and oil — lags behind.

📌 Scaling up domestic renewable electricity generation, together with improvements in energy and resource efficiency, can replace volatile fossil fuel imports with cleaner, lower-cost energy.

📌 If 2030 renewables and efficiency targets are met, variable electricity generation costs in the EU could fall by up to 57% compared to 2023 levels. In the long term, this means lower consumer prices, though near-term investments in grid flexibility and infrastructure will be essential.

📌 The shift to green hydrogen as an industrial feedstock will significantly increase electricity demand post-2030. By 2050, hydrogen use could rise more than tenfold compared to the end of this decade, with around 65% dedicated to industrial applications.

📌Meeting climate goals requires a rapid decline in fossil fuel use: annual oil reduction must double by 2030, while gas use must fall eightfold. This would cut the fossil energy share from 59% in 2022 to 6% by 2050.

📌 Urgent priorities include:

  • Unlocking capital to expand renewable capacity to 77% of total installed capacity by 2030.
  • Doubling system flexibility through smart grids, storage, and demand response.
  • Strengthening EU-wide coordination to balance regional disparities and improve resilience.

➡️ Source: Renewables, electrification and flexibility – For a competitive EU energy system transformation by 2030

Clean Industrial Solutions and Aid Framework (CISAF)

📢 On 25 June 2025, the European Commission adopted the Clean Industrial Solutions and Aid Framework (CISAF) — a major step to align State aid rules with the goals of the Clean Industrial Deal.

This new framework provides targeted support for low-carbon fuels, including low-carbon hydrogen, RFNBOs, and synthetic fuels, through structured investment aid schemes.

🔹 What’s new for hydrogen and e-fuels?

The European Commission will consider compatible with the internal market aid measures to support:

  • investments for the production of low-carbon fuels
  • investments for the production of RFNBOs
  • investments in storage for low-carbon fuels that store exclusively low-carbon fuels, or a mix of low-carbon fuels and RFNBOs.

🔹 Key conditions:

  • 30% of budgets must be reserved for RFNBOs
  • GHG reduction threshold of 70% for low-carbon fuels
  • Aid applies only to new capacity
  • Schemes must remain open, non-discriminatory, and compliant with the ‘Do No Significant Harm’ principle.

✅ This is a promising signal for project developers and industrial actors across Europe. The CISAF framework may play a critical role in de-risking early investments in the hydrogen economy and scaling up low-carbon fuel production.

➡️ Source: Clean Industrial Deal State Aid Framework (CISAF)