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Global Tales of Carbon Transition

Marina Hritsyshina joins Global Tales of Carbon Transition podcast on 9 October 2025

Excited to share that I will be joining the Global Tales of Carbon Transition podcast on 9 October 2025!

Together with the hosts Jaqueline Pinto, Erik Rakhou, Joachim von Scheele and Oghosa Erhahon, we’ll dive into the latest developments in the hydrogen regulation.

A big thank you to the GTCT team and World Hydrogen Leaders for providing the stage for these important discussions.

🎙️ The episode will stream live on YouTube and later be available on Spotify and other platforms.

Looking forward to the conversation and to sharing insights!

3rd German-African Green Hydrogen Forum 2025

EU funding opportunities for Hydrogen import from Africa

On 23 September, I had the pleasure of speaking at the German-African Green Hydrogen Forum at Hochschule Anhalt, University of Applied Sciences. It was inspiring to exchange ideas on the main challenges of hydrogen imports with delegates from different countries and leading experts in the hydrogen sector.

A special thank you to Markus Holz, Ana Beatriz Barbosa Turiel do Nascimento, and the entire team at Hochschule Anhalt for their outstanding hospitality and for organizing such a professional and engaging event.

Hydrogen Import & the European Hydrogen Bank

This weekend I dove into the report “Assistance in the development of an auction design and necessary pre-conditions for a European import auction for renewable hydrogen under the European Hydrogen Bank.”

The EHB is based on domestic and international pillars. While the domestic pillar for hydrogen production in the EU has already reached its third auction, the international pillar for hydrogen import is still under development. This report provides the groundwork for shaping a European import auction for renewable hydrogen and its derivatives.

My Key Takeaways:

1️⃣ Strategic recommendations:

  • The report outlines how to design RFNBO import auctions at EU level, based on hydrogen market analysis and lessons from existing/planned auction schemes in Europe and beyond.

2️⃣ Two case studies analyzed:

📌 Pipeline-based imports (pure hydrogen):

  • Can secure supply/offtake contracts between EU buyers and third-country producers in neighbouring regions.
  • Encourages pipeline investments.
  • Works via demand-side auction models to bridge funding gaps for RFNBO purchases, without assuming counterparty risks.

📌 Ship-based imports (derivatives: ammonia, methanol, eSAF):

  • Helps EU offtakers secure RFNBO volumes for hard-to-abate sectors and quota compliance.
  • Contributes to scaling up the global RFNBO market.

3️⃣ Contract terms

  • To scale import volumes effectively, the maturity transformation between purchase and sales agreements should be limited, with hydrogen sales agreements (HSAs) running for 2–5 years.

4️⃣ Auction design priorities

Import auctions should:

  • Bridge the cost gap between RFNBO production abroad and EU willingness to pay.
  • Accelerate market ramp-up.
  • Send a strong demand signal to international producers.
  • Strengthen cooperation among EU Member States.

💡 This report is an important step toward designing the EU’s approach for international hydrogen imports as a key enabler for the energy transition.

➡️ Source: European Commission: Directorate-General for Energy, Fraunhofer ISI and Guidehouse Germany GmbH, Assistance in the development of an auction design and necessary pre-conditions for a European import auction for renewable hydrogen under the European Hydrogen Bank – Final report, Publications Office of the European Union, 2025, https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2833/9380870

Hydrogen from Peru to the EU

In this episode of Clean Energy Talks video blog with Roxana Serpa, Vice President of H2 Peru Association, we talk about hydrogen import from Peru to the EU:

I. Introduction of H2 Peru Association

The work of H2 Peru and its main activities in the hydrogen sector.

II. Renewable Energy Potential in Peru

What is the estimated renewable energy potential in Peru that could be used for green hydrogen production?

III. Regulatory framework

What recent developments in Peru’s regulatory framework could support the export of hydrogen to the EU?

IV. Transporting Hydrogen to Europe

What are the most viable options for transporting hydrogen from Peru to the EU?

  • Green ammonia
  • Sustainable aviation fuels (SAF)
  • Renewable methanol (for maritime transport).

V. Hydrogen Production Outlook

What opportunities exist for launching hydrogen production projects in Peru in the near to mid-term?

VI. Hydrogen Hubs

What is meant by a hydrogen hub, and what plans or locations are being considered for such hubs in Peru?

VII. Certification

How is Peru preparing to meet the certification requirements for hydrogen exports to the EU?

➡️ Reach out here on LinkedIn or contact me for more details on the video topic.

Methodology for assessing greenhouse gas emissions savings from low-carbon fuels

Report "Methodology for assessing greenhouse gas emissions savings from low-carbon fuels"

This report, prepared at the request of the European Parliament’s Committee on Industry, Research
and Energy (ITRE) reviews the draft Delegated Act (DA) on low-carbon fuels and addresses following questions:

🔹 Which production pathways are included?

  • The DA applies a technology-neutral, life-cycle approach.
  • Fuels must achieve at least a 70% reduction vs. the fossil comparator (94 gCO₂eq/MJ).
  • Both fossil pathways with CCS and electrolytic production routes for hydrogen production are eligible.
  • Nuclear-based electricity is also recognised.
  • Hydrogen leakage will be included once scientific consensus exists on its warming impact.

🔹 Does the DA enable the hydrogen economy?

  • The Delegated Act (DA) is a regulatory enabler, not a market driver.
  • The DA creates regulatory certainty via harmonised EU-wide accounting and certification, reducing investment risk and avoiding fragmented national rules.
  • The DA is not a demand-side driver, no targets or incentives are included.

🔹 Does the DA address fossil fuel emissions?

  • The DA incorporates methane CH₄ and CO₂ defaults but they are not strongly conservative.
  • LNG-specific values are missing, risking underestimation. Its effectiveness will hinge on strict enforcement and robust methane reporting.

🔹 Price & cost expectations

  • Blue H₂: 3.5–6.5 €/kg (costs depend on gas prices, CCS costs, and volatility).
  • Electrolytic H₂: 6–8 €/kg today; costs could fall <3 €/kg with cheaper electrolysers + low-carbon electricity.

➡️ Overall: The DA is an important regulatory enabler. It sets the rules for certification and trade but does not itself stimulate hydrogen demand.

➡️ Source: Report: Methodology for assessing greenhouse gas emissions savings from low-carbon fuels

IEA Global Hydrogen Review 2025

International Energy Agency Global Hydrogen Review 2025

The hydrogen sector is growing despite persistent barriers and project delays.

✅ Key Takeaways from the IEA Global Hydrogen Review 2025:

1️⃣ Global demand continues to rise

  • Hydrogen demand reached 100 Mt in 2024, up 2% from 2023.
  • Fossil fuels still dominate supply: 290 bcm natural gas and 90 Mtce coal equivalent.
  • Low-emissions hydrogen grew 10% in 2024, but remains <1% of total production.

2️⃣ Project delays and cancellations

  • Uptake of low-emissions hydrogen lags behind ambitions due to high costs, regulatory uncertainty, and slow infrastructure development.
  • The sector shows signs of maturity: 200+ low-emissions projects received FIDs since 2020, up from just a few demonstration projects.
  • Innovation across the value chain is strong.

3️⃣ Production outlook to 2030

  • Announced low-emissions projects have decreased from 49 Mtpa to 37 Mtpa due to delays and cancellations, mainly in electrolysis.
  • However, operational projects and projects reached FIDs could deliver 4.2 Mtpa by 2030, a fivefold increase from 2024.
  • An additional 6 Mtpa could come online by 2030 if effective policies and offtake mechanisms are implemented.

4️⃣ Costs and competitiveness

  • The cost gap between low-emissions hydrogen and fossil-based production remains a challenge, though expected to narrow by 2030.
  • China and Europe could see cost-competitive renewable hydrogen.
  • In the US and Middle East, CCUS for producing low-emissions hydrogen may remain more competitive in the near term.

5️⃣ Policy and demand signals

  • Momentum for hydrogen offtake agreements slowed in 2024: 1.7 Mtpa signed vs. 2.4 Mtpa in 2023.
  • Most agreements remain in refining, chemicals, shipping, and some aviation.
  • Policies to create demand are progressing but full impact will depend on implementation.
Global Hydrogen Review Summary Progress: Production, Electrolyser installed capacity, Announced electrolyser projects by 2030, Electrolyser manufacturing capacity, Announced electrolyser manufacturing capacity by 2030, Policies and Investment

Figure: Global Hydrogen Review Summary Progress

➡️ Source: Global Hydrogen Review 2025

Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism simplifications

On 10 September, the European Parliament adopted simplifications to the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM).

✅ Key Points

📌 Purpose: Reduce administrative burden, especially for SMEs and occasional importers.

📌 Context: Part of the “Omnibus I” simplification package (presented on 26 February 2025), covering sustainability and investment legislation.

📌 New de minimis threshold:

  • Imports up to 50 tonnes per importer per year exempted from CBAM.
  • Replaces the earlier exemption for goods of negligible value.
  • Exempts ~90% of importers (mainly SMEs and individuals).
  • ⚠️ Not applicable to hydrogen and electricity.

📌 Climate ambition unchanged:

  • 99% of emissions from CBAM goods (iron, steel, aluminium, cement, fertilisers) still covered.
  • Strengthened anti-abuse provisions to prevent circumvention.

📌 Simplifications for covered imports:

  • Streamlined authorisation process.
  • Simplified emissions calculation rules.
  • Adjusted verification rules.
  • Clearer financial liability for authorised CBAM declarants.

☑️ What’s next:

The Council must now officially endorse the text. It will enter into force three days after publication in the EU Official Journal.

📄 Adopted text: Link.

➡️ Source: CBAM: Parliament adopts simplifications to the EU carbon leakage instrument

Global clean hydrogen projects

Global clean hydrogen projects by project status

Figure: Global clean hydrogen projects by project status

Source: Hydrogen Council & McKinsey Project & Investment Tracker, as of December 2020, May 2022, May 2024 and July 2025

The global hydrogen sector is evolving, and this image from the Global Hydrogen Compass 2025, published by Hydrogen Council, illustrates the current landscape.

✅ Key Takeaways:

📌 The clean hydrogen project pipeline now includes 1,749 projects, of which 510 are committed —meaning they have taken FID, started construction, or begun operation. Over 80 projects were added in the past year.

📌 The overall hydrogen project pipeline has grown 7.5 times since 2020, with 214 net new projects added since May 2024, despite a slowdown in announcements.

📌 Europe leads in the number of projects with commercial operation dates (CODs) by 2030, followed by North America and China.

📌 Around 70% of committed projects are renewable, with just under half located in Europe.

📌 While Europe focuses on developing infrastructure and demand centers for an import-oriented hydrogen industry, China’s renewable projects are on average 10 times larger.

📌 A higher share of Chinese projects (50%) are already FID+ compared to Europe (30%) and North America (35%). Early-stage projects in China may be undercounted due to lower public visibility.

➡️ Source: Global Hydrogen Compass 2025, Hydrogen Council

World Hydrogen Week in Copenhagen

World Hydrogen Week in Copenhagen, 8-10 October 2025

I’m excited to be speaking at World Hydrogen Week in Copenhagen from 6–10 October 2025!

I would be delighted to meet with you on 8–9 October, please don’t hesitate to reach out to arrange a meeting.

Join the largest community of senior hydrogen professionals from across the value chain and be part of the hydrogen revolution!

Find out more and register here: World Hydrogen Week 2025

Case studies on hydrogen produced from biomass

Synergies of green hydrogen and biobased value chains deployment. Report WP2: Case studies on hydrogen produced from biomass

The new report “Synergies of green hydrogen and biobased value chains deployment. Report WP2: Case studies on hydrogen produced from biomass” was released by the Inter-Task Project Synergies of Green Hydrogen and Biobased Value Chains.

The report explores technology options for producing biomass-based hydrogen (biohydrogen) and their respective technology readiness levels.

✅ Regulatory context

  • It is important to underline that biohydrogen does not qualify as renewable hydrogen or renewable fuel of non-biological origin (RFNBO) under the Renewable Energy Directive (RED III), since biomass is explicitly excluded from the definition of RFNBO.
  • RED III: ‘renewable fuels of non-biological origin’ means liquid and gaseous fuels the energy content of which is derived from renewable sources other than biomass;
  • Nevertheless, the report provides valuable insights into how different biomass conversion technologies could contribute to hydrogen and commodity production.
Main conversion processes to produce hydrogen from biomass sources

Figure: Main conversion processes to produce hydrogen from biomass sources (based on Buffi et.al 2022)

Source: Report “Synergies of green hydrogen and biobased value chains deployment”

☑️ Key findings of the report

  • Biohydrogen can be produced through several conversion routes, using a wide range of biogenic feedstocks.
  • Feedstock options vary from low-grade materials (wastewater, forestry and agricultural residues) to higher quality feedstocks (bioethanol, biomethane).
  • Many production concepts deliver additional co-products, such as biochar, biocarbon, or biomethane, and in some cases CO₂ streams that could enable negative emissions.
  • Case studies provide detailed assessments of technology readiness, economic fundamentals, climate impacts, and their potential role in the energy system.

✅ Status of development

  • All production concepts examined remain at the development stage (TRL 4–7) and none has yet reached full commercialization.
  • The report highlights both the opportunities and the barriers for scaling these technologies.

☑️ Takeaway

  • While biohydrogen will not play a role in fulfilling RED III targets for RFNBO, it may provide complementary pathways for decarbonisation and resource efficiency, particularly if integrated into biobased value chains with multiple outputs.

➡️ Source: Report “Synergies of green hydrogen and biobased value chains deployment”