2025 Carbon Market Report

On 3 December 2025, the European Commission published the 2025 Carbon Market Report, confirming that the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) continues to function effectively and remains a key pillar of Europe’s climate policy.
As part of the State of the Energy Union Report, the assessment:
▪️ Reviews EU ETS performance in 2024 and early 2025
▪️ Confirms the continued decline in emissions across power and industry.
✅ Key takeaways:
🔹 Overall progress
- EU ETS emissions from power and industry are now around 50% below 2005 levels.
- The system remains on track for the 2030 target: –62% emissions
🔹 Power & Industry
- 2024 emissions from power installations fell by almost 11% compared to 2023
- Overall fuel combustion emissions across power + industry declined by 9%
🔹 Aviation
- EU ETS prices for intra-European aviation increased around 15% in 2024
- ➡️ Key Drivers: continued growth in aviation emissions and expanded coverage, including flights to the EU’s outermost regions
- The EU ETS also started rewarding airlines for their use of sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) through additional allowance allocation, and the EU became the first jurisdiction to introduce monitoring and reporting of non-CO2 aviation effects.
- SAF incentives under EU ETS
- The ETS carbon price already provides an incentive of around EUR 200 per tonne of SAF used, compared to fossil kerosene.
- Additional ETS support measures implemented in 2025: €500 – €7,000 per tonne of eligible SAF on ETS routes and applicable since 1 January 2024.
- For 2024, the incentive from EU ETS was worth around EUR 25 million, supplemented by ETS support of about 1.3 million allowances worth approximately EUR 100 million
- CORSIA alignment
- Limited intra-European EU ETS scope extended to end-2026
- Full application of ICAO CORSIA expected from 2027
🔹 Maritime
- 2024 marked the inclusion of shipping in the EU ETS
- Coverage:
- 100% of emissions between EEA ports & at EEA ports
- 50% of emissions from voyages to/from non-EEA ports
- Compliance was high: shipping companies surrendered allowances for more than 99% of their relevant surrendering requirements by the 30 September deadline.
- In 2025, shipping companies surrendered allowances for 40% of their 2024 emissions
🔹 EU ETS funding the clean transition
- €38.8 billion raised in 2024
- Revenues support:
- National climate action
- Clean energy investments
- Innovation Fund
- Modernisation Fund
- Recovery & Resilience Facility (REPowerEU)
☑️ Total ETS revenues now exceed €250 billion
➡️ Source: 2025 Carbon Market Report: EU ETS lowers power sector emissions and expands to maritime transport






